NFL Picks Week 6

Week 6 of the NFL season sees quite a few interesting games on the card for TNF we have the Chiefs hosting the Broncos, SNF has the Bills hosting the Giants, while the hanging will be playing host to the Cowboys for MNF.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Thursday, October 12, 2023

Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Time: 8:15 pm

The Kansas City Chiefs, boasting a 4-1 record, are set to host the Denver Broncos, who are 1-4, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium this Thursday. 9.5 points favor the Chiefs, and the game’s over/under is set at 51.

The Broncos are coming off a 31-21 loss to the Jets. Quarterback Russell Wilson had a decent performance, throwing for 196 yards and two touchdowns without any interceptions. Samaje Perine and Jaleel McLaughlin stood out in the receiving and rushing departments. Defensively, the Broncos struggled, especially against the run, allowing 234 yards. So far, the Broncos are averaging 24.2 points per game. Their defense, however, is a concern, allowing 36.2 points per game, which ranks them last in the NFL.

The Chiefs secured a 27-20 win last week against the Vikings. Running back Isiah Pacheco and tight end Travis Kelce were the offensive standouts. Patrick Mahomes had a solid game, throwing for 281 yards and two touchdowns. The Chiefs’ defense was more effective against the run, allowing only 70 yards. Offensively, the Chiefs are scoring an average of 25.6 points per game this season. Their defense has been relatively strong, allowing just 16.0 points per game, ranking them 6th in the league.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Chiefs and Broncos?

Prediction: a Chiefs win, 30-21.

Betting Pick: Chiefs UNDER 51

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Time: 9:30 pm

The Baltimore Ravens, with a 3-2 record, are set to face off against the Tennessee Titans, who are 2-3, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this Sunday. The Titans enter the game as 5.5-point underdogs, and the game’s over/under is 42.

The Ravens are coming off a 17-10 loss to the Steelers. Quarterback Lamar Jackson threw for 236 yards but was intercepted once. Zay Flowers and Gus Edwards stood out in the receiving and rushing departments. Defensively, the Ravens struggled against the run, allowing 87 yards. The Ravens are averaging 21.8 points per game this season. Their defense has been a strong point, allowing only 15.0 points per game, ranking them 3rd in the NFL.

The Titans suffered a 23-16 loss to the Colts in their last outing. Derrick Henry and DeAndre Hopkins were the offensive standouts in the rushing and receiving categories, respectively. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill threw for 264 yards but was intercepted once. The Titans’ defense had a tough time against the run, allowing 193 yards. Offensively, the Titans are scoring an average of 17.6 points per game this season. Their defense has been decent, allowing 18.6 points per game, which ranks them 9th in the league.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Titans and Ravens?

Prediction: Ravens win 21-16.

Betting Pick: Titans UNDER 42

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

Time: 1:00 pm

The Miami Dolphins, boasting a 4-1 record, are set to host the struggling Carolina Panthers, who are 0-5, at Hard Rock Stadium this Sunday. Miami is favored by 10.5 points, with the game’s over/under set at 46.

The Panthers are coming off a 42-24 defeat to the Lions. Quarterback Bryce Young threw for 247 yards and three touchdowns but was intercepted twice. Chuba Hubbard and Adam Thielen stood out in the rushing and receiving departments, respectively. Defensively, the Panthers struggled, especially against the run, allowing 159 yards. So far this season, Carolina is averaging 18.2 points per game. Their defense has been a weak point, allowing 28.8 points per game, ranking them 28th in the NFL.

The Dolphins are coming off a 31-16 win over the Giants. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa threw for 308 yards with two touchdowns, though he was intercepted twice. De’Von Achane and Tyreek Hill were the offensive standouts in the rushing and receiving categories, respectively. The Dolphins’ defense was solid, especially against the run, allowing only 85 yards. Offensively, the Dolphins are a force to be reckoned with, averaging 36.2 points per game, ranking them 1st in the NFL. Their defense, however, hasn’t been the best in the league, allowing 27.0 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Dolphins and Panthers?

Prediction: Dolphins 31-21.

Betting Pick: Dolphins OVER 46

New Orleans Saints vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: NRG Stadium

Time: 1:00 pm

The Houston Texans, with a 2-3 record, are set to host the New Orleans Saints, who are 3-2, at NRG Stadium this Sunday. The Saints are slight favorites, favored by just 1 point, and the game’s over/under is set at 40.

The Saints are coming off a dominant 34-0 win over the Patriots. Quarterback Derek Carr was efficient, throwing for 183 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas stood out in the rushing and receiving departments. Defensively, the Saints were stout, especially against the run, allowing only 45 yards. New Orleans is averaging 19.2 points per game this season. Their defense has been a strong point, allowing only 15.2 points per game, ranking them 4th in the NFL.

The Texans are coming off a narrow 21-19 loss to the Falcons. Quarterback C.J. Stroud threw for 249 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions. Dalton Schultz and Dameon Pierce were the offensive standouts in the receiving and rushing categories. The Texans’ defense struggled against the pass, allowing 351 yards. Offensively, the Texans are averaging 23.0 points per game. Their defense, however, has been middle of the pack, allowing 20.0 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Texans and Saints?

Prediction: Texans 24-17.

Betting Pick: Texans OVER 40

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Time: 1:00 pm

The Washington Commanders, with a record of 2-3, are set to face off against the Atlanta Falcons, who are 3-2, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium this Sunday. The Falcons are slight favorites, favored by just 1 point, and the game’s over/under is set at 42.

The Commanders are coming off a 40-20 loss to the Bears. Quarterback Sam Howell had a decent game, throwing for 388 yards and two touchdowns, but also threw an interception. Logan Thomas was the standout receiver, while the running game struggled, averaging just 2.9 yards per carry. Defensively, Washington had a tough time, especially against the run, allowing 178 yards. So far, the Commanders are averaging 21.8 points per game. Their defense has been a weak point, allowing 32.0 points per game, ranking them 31st in the NFL.

The Falcons are coming off a narrow 21-19 win against the Texans. Quarterback Desmond Ridder threw for 329 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions. Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson were the offensive standouts in the receiving and rushing departments. The Falcons’ defense performed well, especially against the run, allowing only 64 yards. Offensively, the Falcons are averaging 16.6 points per game. Their defense has been solid, allowing only 19.2 points per game, ranking them 10th in the NFL.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Falcons and Commanders?

Prediction: Falcons 24-21.

Betting Pick: Falcons (-1) OVER 42

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: TIAA Bank Field

Time: 1:00 pm

The Indianapolis Colts, with a 3-2 record, are set to face the Jacksonville Jaguars, also 3-2, at TIAA Bank Field this Sunday. The Colts enter this matchup as 6.5-point underdogs, and the game’s over/under is set at 45.

The Colts secured a 23-16 win over the Titans last week. Quarterback Gardner Minshew II had a solid performance, throwing for 155 yards without an interception. Zack Moss stood out in the running game, while Josh Downs led the receiving corps. Defensively, the Colts struggled against the pass but were solid against the run. The Colts are averaging 24.0 points per game so far this season. Their defense has been a concern, allowing 23.0 points per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL.

The Jaguars are coming off a 25-20 win against the Bills. Running back Travis Etienne had a strong game, and Calvin Ridley was the top receiver. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence threw for 315 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, the Jaguars were stout against the run but had challenges against the pass. Offensively, the Jaguars are averaging 21.0 points per game this season. Their defense has been decent, allowing 20.4 points per game, placing them 12th in the league.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Jaguars and Colts

Prediction: Colts have a slight edge in points but shouldn’t be able to match the Jaguars defense. Jaguars 24-21.

Betting Pick: Jaguars Moneyline

Seattle Seahawks vs Cincinnati Bengals

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Paycor Stadium

Time: 1:00 pm

The Seattle Seahawks, boasting a 3-1 record, are gearing up to face the Cincinnati Bengals, who are 2-3, at Paycor Stadium this Sunday. Oddsmakers from Vegas have the Bengals as 2.5-point favorites, with the game’s total at 44.

Last week, the Seahawks confidently scored a 24-3 win over the Giants. Quarterback Geno Smith performed well, while Noah Fant stood out in the receiving game. Kenneth Walker III was the leading rusher. Defensively, the Seahawks were solid against the pass but had some challenges against the run. So far, the Seahawks are averaging 27.8 points per game. Their defense, however, is middle of the field, allowing 22.8 points per game, placing them 19th in the NFL.

The Bengals are coming off a 34-20 win against the Cardinals. Running back Joe Mixon had a steady game, and Ja’Marr Chase was the top receiver. Quarterback Joe Burrow threw for 317 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, the Bengals were strong against the pass but struggled against the run. Offensively, the Bengals are averaging 16.6 points per game this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Their defense has been middle-of-the-pack, allowing 22.8 points per game, which ranks them 21st.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Bengals and Seahawks?

Prediction: The defense is pretty even with these two, but the Seahawks have a significant advantage in the offense. Seahawks 27-17.

Betting Pick: Seahawks Moneyline

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Soldier Field

Time: 1:00 pm

With a 1-4 record, the Chicago Bears are preparing to host the Minnesota Vikings, also 1-4, at Soldier Field this Sunday. The Bears enter the game as 4.5-point underdogs, and the game’s total is 48.

Last week, the Vikings faced a narrow defeat against the Chiefs, 27-20. The Vikings’ offense saw contributions from Alexander Mattison in the running game and Jordan Addison in the receiving department. Quarterback Kirk Cousins performed well, throwing for 284 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, the Vikings had some challenges, especially in the passing game, where they allowed a completion rate of 75.6%. The Vikings are averaging 22.0 points per game this season. Their defense has been on the lower end of the scale, ranking 23rd in the NFL by allowing 24.4 points per game.

The Bears are coming off a dominant 40-20 win against the Commanders. Quarterback Justin Fields had an impressive game, throwing for 282 yards and four touchdowns. D.J. Moore was the standout receiver, while Khalil Herbert made significant contributions in the running game. The Bears’ defense was solid, especially against the run. Offensively, the Bears are averaging 23.0 points per game this season. However, their defense has struggled, ranking 30th in the league by allowing 31.4 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Bears and Vikings?

Prediction: Vikings Defense should keep the Bears at bay. Vikings 29-21.

Betting Pick: Vikings OVER 48

San Francisco 49ers vs Cleveland Browns

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium

Time: 1:00 pm

The San Francisco 49ers, boasting an undefeated 5-0 record, are gearing up to face the Cleveland Browns, who are 2-2, at Cleveland Browns Stadium this Sunday. The Browns are entering the game as 1.5-point underdogs, with the game’s total set at 41.

Last week, the 49ers showcased their dominance with a 42-10 victory over the Cowboys. Quarterback Brock Purdy had an impressive performance, throwing for 252 yards and four touchdowns. George Kittle and Jordan Mason contributed significantly to the receiving and rushing departments. Defensively, the 49ers were solid, especially against the run. So far this season, the 49ers are averaging a very respectable 33.4 points per game. Their defense has been particularly stingy, ranking 1st in the NFL by allowing only 13.6 points per game.

The Browns are coming off a tough 28-3 loss to the Ravens. Quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson struggled, throwing three interceptions. Pierre Strong and David Njoku were the offensive standouts in the rushing and receiving departments, respectively. The Browns’ defense had challenges, especially against the run. Offensively, the Browns are averaging 19.0 points per game this season. Their defense, however, has been relatively strong, ranking 2nd in the league by allowing just 15.0 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Browns and 49ers?

Prediction: Both teams are well matched in defense, while the 49ers have a clear advantage in the offense; not expecting a high score, but the 49ers should pull through. 49ers 27-17.

Betting Pick: 49ers OVER 41

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Allegiant Stadium

Time: 4:05 pm

The Las Vegas Raiders, with a 2-3 record, are set to host the New England Patriots, who are 1-4, at Allegiant Stadium this Sunday. The Patriots enter the game as 1.5-point underdogs, and the game’s total is 42.

The Patriots faced a tough loss against the Saints, ending with a 34-0 scoreline in week 5. Rhamondre Stevenson led the Patriots in rushing, while Kendrick Bourne made notable contributions in the receiving department. Quarterback Mac Jones had a challenging game, throwing two interceptions. Defensively, the Patriots struggled against the run but were relatively solid against the pass. So far, the Patriots are averaging 11.0 points per game, and their defense ranks 25th in the NFL, allowing 26.2 points per game.

The Raiders are coming off a narrow 17-13 win against the Packers. Running back Josh Jacobs and receiver Jakobi Meyers were the offensive standouts. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo had a decent performance, throwing for 208 yards with one touchdown and one interception. The Raiders’ defense was solid, especially against the pass. Offensively, the Raiders are averaging 15.8 points per game this season. Their defense ranks 20th in the league, allowing 22.8 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Raiders and Patriots?

Prediction: Should be a close game; the Patriots defense might let this game get out of hand. Raiders 24-14.

Betting Pick: Raiders UNDER 42

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Raymond James Stadium

Time: 4:25 pm

The Detroit Lions, boasting a 4-1 record, are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are 3-1, at Raymond James Stadium this Sunday. The Buccaneers are entering the game as 2.5-point underdogs, with the game’s total set at 45.

The Lions secured a convincing 42-24 win against the Panthers in week 5. Quarterback Jared Goff showcased a strong performance, while Josh Reynolds and David Montgomery made significant contributions in the receiving and rushing departments. Defensively, the Lions were solid, especially against the run. The Lions are averaging 29.6 points per game this season, and their defense ranks 15th in the NFL, allowing 21.4 points per game.

The Buccaneers are coming off a 26-9 win against the Saints. Quarterback Baker Mayfield had a commendable game, with Chris Godwin being his primary target. Rachaad White also contributed in the running game. Defensively, the Buccaneers were effective, particularly against the pass. Offensively, the Buccaneers are averaging 21.0 points per game this season. Their defense ranks 8th in the league, allowing 17.0 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Buccaneers and Lions?

Prediction: Lions have a better offense, Buccaneers have a better defense, and the Lions defense might not be enough to hold back the Bucs if they are on point. Buccaneers 24-17.

Betting Pick: Buccaneers (+2.5) UNDER 45

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: SoFi Stadium

Time: 4:25 pm

The Los Angeles Rams, with a 2-3 record, are set to host the Arizona Cardinals, who are 1-4, at SoFi Stadium this Sunday. The Cardinals are entering the game as 4.5-point underdogs, with the game’s total set at 45.

In last week’s game, the Cardinals suffered a 34-20 defeat against the Bengals. Rondale Moore and Marquise Brown contributed to the rushing and receiving departments. Quarterback Joshua Dobbs had a challenging game, throwing two interceptions. Defensively, the Cardinals struggled against the run but were slightly more effective against the pass. The Cardinals are averaging 21.6 points per game, and their defense ranks 27th in the NFL, allowing 27.2 points per game so far this season.

The Rams are coming off a 23-14 loss against the Eagles. Kyren Williams and Cooper Kupp contributed significantly to the rushing and receiving departments. Quarterback Matthew Stafford had a decent game, throwing for two touchdowns. Defensively, the Rams had difficulty containing the Eagles’ ground game. Offensively, the Rams are averaging 22.4 points per game this season. Their defense ranks 16th in the league, allowing 21.6 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Rams and Cardinals?

Prediction: The Cardinals defense is lacking, which should show the Rams winning this week. Rams 24-21.

Betting Pick: Rams Moneyline

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Jets

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: MetLife Stadium

Time: 4:25 pm

The Philadelphia Eagles, boasting a 5-0 record, are set to face off against the New York Jets, who are 2-3, at MetLife Stadium this Sunday. The Jets are entering the game as 6.5-point underdogs, with the game’s total set at 42.

The Eagles secured a win against the Rams last week with a score of 23-14. Jalen Hurts showcased his skills both in the air and on the ground, with A.J. Brown being a significant contributor in the receiving department. On the defensive side, the Eagles effectively limited the Rams’ ground game. The Eagles have been impressive throughout the season, averaging 28.2 points per game and ranking 2nd in the league in rushing. Their defense, however, ranks 27th against the pass but has been relatively stout against the run.

The Jets are coming off a 31-21 win over the Broncos. Breece Hall had an outstanding performance, rushing for 177 yards, while Tyler Conklin was a key target in the passing game. Quarterback Zach Wilson had a decent outing but did throw an interception. The Jets’ defense had a mixed performance, allowing a significant amount of rushing yards but being more effective against the pass. Offensively, the Jets have struggled in the passing game, ranking last in the league, but their ground game has been a bright spot. Defensively, they rank in the middle of the pack in most categories.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Jets and Eagles?

Prediction: With the Eagles scoring an average of high 20s per game and the Jets allowing an average of 23 points through each game, the Eagles should see a decent win this week. Eagles 30-17.

Betting Pick: Eagles OVER 42

New York Giants vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Sunday, October 15, 2023

Venue: Highmark Stadium

Time: 8:20 pm

The New York Giants, with a 1-4 record, are gearing up to challenge the Buffalo Bills, who stand at 3-2, at Highmark Stadium this Sunday. The Giants are entering the game as 10.5-point underdogs, with the game’s total set at 47.

The Giants lost against the Dolphins last week, 31-16. Quarterback Daniel Jones had a decent game, but the ground game, led by Eric Gray, struggled. Darren Waller was the standout receiver for the Giants. Defensively, they had a tough time, especially against the run, allowing a whopping 9.7 yards per rush. The Giants’ offense has been underwhelming, averaging just 12.4 points per game. Their defense has also been porous, ranking 29th in the league by conceding 30.6 points per game.

The Bills recently suffered a close loss to the Jaguars, 25-20. Quarterback Josh Allen had a solid game, connecting well with Stefon Diggs. However, the Bills rushing attack could have been improved. Defensively, they struggled against the run but were relatively better against the pass. Throughout the season, the Bills have been potent offensively, ranking 3rd in the NFL with an average of 31.8 points per game. Their defense has been commendable, ranking 5th in the league by allowing only 16.0 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Bills and Giants?

Prediction: Giants should prove no match for the Bills this week, with the Giants defense lacking against the Bills potent offense. Bills 40-10.

Betting Pick: Bills OVER 47

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Monday, October 16, 2023

Venue: SoFi Stadium

Time: 8:15 pm

The Los Angeles Chargers, standing at 2-2, are set to host the Dallas Cowboys, who have a 3-2 record, at SoFi Stadium this upcoming Monday. The Cowboys are entering the game slightly favored by 1.5 points, with the game’s total set at 46.

Last week, the Cowboys faced a significant loss against the 49ers, 42-10. Their ground game, led by Tony Pollard, struggled, and while CeeDee Lamb had a decent receiving game, quarterback Dak Prescott had a challenging day with three interceptions. Defensively, Dallas had a tough time, especially against the run. The Cowboys’ offense has been decent, averaging 26.8 points per game. Their defense, however, has been stout, ranking 7th in the league by allowing only 16.6 points per game.

The Chargers scored a win over the Raiders, 24-17. Joshua Kelley led the ground game, and Josh Palmer was the standout receiver. Quarterback Justin Herbert had a solid game, but he did throw an interception. Defensively, the Chargers were solid, especially against the run. Throughout the season, the Chargers’ offense has been potent, ranking 7th in the NFL with an average of 27.5 points per game. However, their defense has been significantly weaker, ranking 24th by conceding 26.0 points per game.

Who will win the against the spread this week between the Chargers and Cowboys?

Prediction: Both teams are averaging around 30 points per game, while the Cowboys offense is significantly stronger. Cowboys 31-21.

Betting Pick: Cowboys OVER 46