NFL FREE PICKS
Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season has some pretty interesting matchups, with two games so statistically close that there is less than one point difference between them!
Starting off with TNF, we have the Bears hosting the Panthers, SNF has the Jets at the Raiders home camp, and MNF has the Broncos making their way to Buffalo to take on the Bills.
Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears
Date: Thursday, November 9, 2023
Venue: Soldier Field
Time: 8:15 pm
The Carolina Panthers, standing at 1-7, are set to challenge the Chicago Bears with a 2-7 record at Soldier Field, with Carolina as the 3.5-point underdog and an over/under set at 40.
The Panthers, coming off a 27-13 loss to the Colts, saw Chuba Hubbard rushing for 58 yards, Hayden Hurst receiving for 54 yards, and quarterback Bryce Young throwing for 173 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions. The Panthers allowed 78 rushing yards and 120 passing yards, totaling 275 offensive yards. They average 17.5 points per game, rank 24th in rushing, and have accumulated 2,267 yards this season.
Defensively, Carolina concedes 178.3 passing yards and 131.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 8th in total defense but last in points allowed with 28.3 per game.
The Bears, at 2-7 following a 24-17 defeat to the Saints, had Tyson Bagent throw for 220 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. D’Onta Foreman rushed for 83 yards, and Darnell Mooney received for 82 yards. Chicago averages 325.9 yards per game offensively and 20.9 points per game. Defensively, they allow 256.9 passing yards and 79.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 29th in points allowed with 26.9 per game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Panthers/Bears against the spread?
Prediction: The Panthers defense ranked 5th seems to be the only thing holding them up at the moment, The Bears are clear in the lead in all other aspects and their rushing game (ranked 3rd) might just get them past the Panthers defense.
Betting Pick: Bears 26-20
| Team Stats | Panthers | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2513 | 3116 |
| Passing Yards | 1497 | 1715 |
| Rushing Yards | 770 | 1218 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 140 | 188 |
| Fumbles Lost | 4 | 6 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 7 | 12 |
| Sacks Allowed | 29 | 30 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 40% | 44% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 229:00 | 269:04 |
| Penalties | 57 | 59 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2605 | 3090 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1426 | 2312 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1054 | 717 |
| Points Allowed | 226 | 242 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 2 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 6 |
| Sacks | 17 | 10 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 34% | 48% |
Sunday Football
Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: Deutsche Bank Park | Germany
Time: 9:30 am
The upcoming game at Frankfurt Stadium will feature the struggling New England Patriots (2-7) against the Indianapolis Colts (4-5), with the Colts favored to win by 2 points and an over/under set at 43.5.
The Colts, coming off a 27-13 victory over the Panthers, are at a near .500 record. Quarterback Gardner Minshew II posted 127 yards and one touchdown, without interceptions, contributing to the team’s 198 total yards. Michael Pittman Jr. and Jonathan Taylor were standouts in receiving and rushing, respectively. The Colts defense allowed 138 rushing yards but restricted the Panthers to a 61.5% completion rate.
Offensively, Indianapolis has accumulated 3,097 yards this season, with a balanced attack of 11 passing and 12 rushing touchdowns. They average 123.3 rushing yards per game, placing them in the NFL’s top ten for ground game. Defensively, they’ve struggled, ranking 27th in pass defense and 26th overall, yielding 26.9 points per game.
The Patriots, on the other hand, enter the matchup after a narrow 20-17 defeat against the Commanders. Quarterback Mac Jones passed for 220 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson and receiver Demario Douglas had notable performances, but the team’s overall offense ranks 27th in the league, averaging 289.4 yards per game. Their scoring is even less impressive, at just 15.0 points per game, 31st in the NFL.
New England’s defense is also underperforming, ranked 26th in points allowed at 25.3 per game. They’ve been particularly vulnerable against the pass, ranking 21st while giving up 12 touchdowns. The ground defense has been slightly better, conceding 100.8 yards per game. With a total of 9 takeaways this season, the Patriots defense hasn’t been a game-changer.
Who do you think will win this week’s Colts/Patriots against the spread?
Prediction: The Patriots are well rounded averaging around 21st in all aspects of the game while the Colts are ranked 10th overall this week with their offense, passing and rushing making up for their dismal defense (ranked 30th overall), Colts offensive game should take charge here.
Betting Pick: Colts 26-19
| Team Stats | Colts | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3214 | 2722 |
| Passing Yards | 1987 | 1823 |
| Rushing Yards | 1110 | 782 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 226 | 135 |
| Fumbles Lost | 8 | 5 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 6 | 9 |
| Sacks Allowed | 22 | 18 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 39% | 33% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 287:04 | 301:29 |
| Penalties | 59 | 58 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3431 | 3125 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2115 | 2094 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1130 | 907 |
| Points Allowed | 242 | 228 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 5 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 5 |
| Sacks | 25 | 18 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 37% | 39% |
Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: MT&T Bank Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
The Baltimore Ravens, with a 7-2 record, are set to play the Cleveland Browns, standing at 5-3, at M&T Bank Stadium. Six points favor the Ravens, and the game’s over/under is at 38.
The Browns, coming off a 27-0 victory over the Cardinals, saw Deshaun Watson pass for 219 yards and two touchdowns, Jerome Ford leads with 44 rushing yards, and Amari Cooper catch for 139 yards. Cleveland’s defense allowed just 17 passing yards and 41 rushing yards, maintaining their status as the top team against the pass with 145.0 yards allowed per game and ranking first in total defense with 234.8 yards per game. They are third in the NFL for points allowed, at 17.4 per game.
The Ravens dominated the Seahawks 37-3 in their previous game, with Lamar Jackson throwing for 187 yards and Keaton Mitchell rushing for 138 yards. Mark Andrews had 80 receiving yards. Baltimore’s offense ranks sixth in the NFL, averaging 369.0 yards per game, while their defense leads the league in points allowed at 13.8 per game and is second in passing yards allowed, giving up 170.7 yards per game. They’ve given up the fewest rushing touchdowns, with only three this season.
Who do you think will win this week’s Browns/Ravens against the spread?
Prediction: While the Browns have the best defense in the league at the moment, the Ravens are sitting comfortably at the top this week with 4th in offense, 3rd in defense, and 1st in rushing, the Browns defense will do their best to hold them back, but the Ravens offensive should shine through this week.
Betting Pick: Ravens 22-17
| Team Stats | Browns | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2803 | 3435 |
| Passing Yards | 1473 | 1878 |
| Rushing Yards | 1153 | 1443 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 175 | 239 |
| Fumbles Lost | 6 | 9 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 11 | 3 |
| Sacks Allowed | 24 | 21 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 31% | 45% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 206:26 | 256:43 |
| Penalties | 52 | 52 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2054 | 2662 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1160 | 1536 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 718 | 827 |
| Points Allowed | 139 | 124 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 6 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 9 |
| Sacks | 27 | 35 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 25% | 34% |
Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
The Pittsburgh Steelers, with a 5-3 record, will host the 3-5 Green Bay Packers at Acrisure Stadium, with the Packers entering as 3.5-point underdogs and the over/under at 37.5.
The Packers defeated the Rams 20-3 in their latest matchup, with Jordan Love throwing for 228 yards and one touchdown and Aaron Jones leading the ground game with 73 yards. Green Bay amassed 391 total yards and allowed only 119 passing yards and 68 rushing yards, ranking sixth against the pass with 196.1 yards allowed per game and 11th in total defense with 320.1 yards per game. They concede an average of 19.9 points per game.
The Steelers emerged victorious with a 20-16 win against the Titans. Kenny Pickett passed for 160 yards with one touchdown, and Diontae Johnson received for 90 yards. Jaylen Warren added 88 rushing yards. Pittsburgh ranks 29th in total offense, averaging 278.5 yards per game and 29th in scoring, with 16.6 points per game. Defensively, they give up 244.1 passing yards per game and 20.4 points per game, ranked 13th in points allowed. They’ve generated 16 turnovers this season.
Who do you think will win this week’s Packers/Steelers against the spread?
Prediction: While the Packers aren’t exactly at the top of the rankings this week, the Steelers have found themselves all the way at the bottom in 28th position. The Steelers offense and defense are both subpar, while the Packers defense is ranked 8th overall; we should expect a Packers win this week.
Betting Pick: Packers 21-17
| Team Stats | Packers | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2537 | 2370 |
| Passing Yards | 1597 | 1504 |
| Rushing Yards | 803 | 724 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 160 | 127 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 2 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 8 | 6 |
| Sacks Allowed | 18 | 19 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 41% | 36% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 254:24 | 262:48 |
| Penalties | 60 | 46 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2688 | 3177 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1569 | 1953 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 992 | 1065 |
| Points Allowed | 159 | 163 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 3 | 8 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 8 |
| Sacks | 20 | 26 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 38% | 40% |
San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: TIAA Bank Field
Time: 1:00 pm
The San Francisco 49ers, with a 5-3 record, will visit the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are 6-2, at TIAA Bank Field, with Jacksonville starting as 3-point underdogs and an over/under of 44.5.
In their last game, the 49ers lost 31-17 to the Bengals, with Brock Purdy throwing for 365 yards and George Kittle receiving for 149 yards. San Francisco allowed 266 passing yards and 134 rushing yards, averaging 4.9 yards per rushing attempt. They rank 5th in rushing with 133.5 yards per game and score an average of 27.3 points per game.
Defensively, the 49ers allow 17.5 points per game and have given up 689 rushing yards over eight games, ranking 4th in points allowed and 13th against the pass with 228.9 yards per game. They’re 10th in the NFL in total defense, yielding 315.0 yards per game.
The Jaguars won their last game 20-10 against the Steelers, with Trevor Lawrence throwing for 292 yards and Travis Etienne running for 79 yards. Jacksonville’s offense averages 341.4 yards per game, ranking them 14th, with 112.5 rushing yards per game. They score 24.1 points per game.
On defense, Jacksonville allows 19.5 points per game and is 30th against the pass, surrendering 263.5 yards per game. They’ve allowed 634 rushing yards this season and have 18 takeaways. The Jaguars have conceded 156 points over the season.
Who do you think will win this week’s 49ers/Jaguars against the spread?
Prediction: The 49ers outrank the Jaguars in every ranking metric this week; seated in 4th position in comparison to the Jaguars at 12th, we have the 49ers taking the win.
Betting Pick: 49ers 27-14
| Team Stats | 49ers | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3102 | 2856 |
| Passing Yards | 1945 | 1831 |
| Rushing Yards | 1068 | 900 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 218 | 193 |
| Fumbles Lost | 4 | 9 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 5 | 4 |
| Sacks Allowed | 14 | 19 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 46% | 35% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 229:41 | 228:19 |
| Penalties | 55 | 39 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2644 | 2833 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1831 | 2108 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 689 | 634 |
| Points Allowed | 140 | 156 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 2 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 11 |
| Sacks | 18 | 16 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 40% | 34% |
New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
At U.S. Bank Stadium, the Minnesota Vikings (5-4) will face off against the New Orleans Saints (5-4), with the Saints entering as 2.5-point favorites and an over/under set at 41.5.
The Saints, coming off a 24-17 win against the Bears, had Derek Carr throwing for 211 yards and Taysom Hill rushing for 52 yards. New Orleans ran for an average of 3.2 yards per carry, ending with 87 yards on the ground, and allowed 212 passing yards and 156 rushing yards in their last game. They have an average of 103.9 rushing yards per game and score 21.7 points per game.
New Orleans’ defense ranks 7th in points allowed at 19.0 per game, 8th against the pass with 192.0 yards allowed per game, and 7th overall with 304.3 yards conceded per game. They’ve given up 1,011 rushing yards this season.
The Vikings won their last game 31-28 against the Falcons. Joshua Dobbs passed for 158 yards, and on the ground, he added 66 yards. T.J. Hockenson led the receivers with 69 yards. Minnesota ran for 146 yards, averaging 4.4 yards per attempt, and their defense allowed 260 passing yards and 110 rushing yards. The Vikings are averaging 354.8 yards per game, ranking 8th, with 273.4 passing yards per game and 81.3 rushing yards per game. They rank 13th in scoring, averaging 22.9 points per game.
Minnesota’s defense is 18th against the pass, allowing 225.4 yards per game, and has given up 923 rushing yards this season. The defense has forced 12 turnovers and conceded 190 total points, ranking 17th in points allowed at 21.1 per game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Saints/Vikings against the spread?
Prediction: Both the Saints and the Vikings are holding close this week, should be a close game, likely low scoring, with the Saints coming out voctorious.
Betting Pick: Saints 22-17
| Team Stats | Saints | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3229 | 3322 |
| Passing Yards | 2159 | 2461 |
| Rushing Yards | 935 | 732 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 195 | 194 |
| Fumbles Lost | 5 | 12 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 5 | 5 |
| Sacks Allowed | 21 | 22 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 37% | 41% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 255:31 | 279:43 |
| Penalties | 55 | 43 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2848 | 3138 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1728 | 2029 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1011 | 923 |
| Points Allowed | 171 | 190 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 6 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 7 |
| Sacks | 17 | 24 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 34% | 45% |
Houston Texans vs Cincinnati Bengals
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: Paycor Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
The Cincinnati Bengals (5-3) will host the Houston Texans (4-4) at Paycor Stadium, with the Bengals favored by 6.5 points and an over/under set at 46.5.
The Texans, coming off a narrow 39-37 victory over the Buccaneers, saw C.J. Stroud throw for 470 yards and five touchdowns. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing, albeit with a modest 2.0 yards per carry. The Texans allowed 251 passing yards and 81 rushing yards, maintaining a 70.0% completion rate against them. Houston averages 87.0 yards per game on the ground, ranking 27th in the NFL, and scores an average of 23.4 points per game.
Houston’s defense is ranked 15th in points allowed at 20.6 per game. They have given up 776 rushing yards over eight games and surrendered an average of 238.0 passing yards per game, which ranks them 17th in the NFL. Overall, they’re giving up 335.0 yards per game.
The Bengals secured a 24-18 win against the Bills in their last outing. Joe Burrow passed for 348 yards with two touchdowns, while Tee Higgins had 110 receiving yards. The Bengals’ rushing game could have been more impressive, averaging only 2.5 yards per carry for a total of 54 yards. They allowed 249 passing yards and 68 rushing yards in their last game. The Bengals average 291.9 yards per game, ranking 25th in the NFL, with 216.0 passing yards and 75.9 rushing yards per game. They rank 23rd in scoring, averaging 19.4 points per game.
Cincinnati’s defense is ranked 12th in points allowed at 20.3 per game. They have conceded 1,038 rushing yards and ten passing touchdowns over the season. The Bengals have forced 15 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 11 interceptions) and have conceded a total of 162 points this year.
Who do you think will win this week’s Texans/Bengals against the spread?
Prediction: The Texans have a far superior offense and defense than the Bengals and the Texans are ranked 11th overall this week with the Bengals near the bottom at 26th, this one should be a no brainer.
Betting Pick: Texans 22-17
| Team Stats | Texans | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2972 | 2468 |
| Passing Yards | 2113 | 1728 |
| Rushing Yards | 696 | 607 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 187 | 155 |
| Fumbles Lost | 4 | 2 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks Allowed | 18 | 18 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 42% | 36% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 244:19 | 235:29 |
| Penalties | 55 | 37 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2800 | 3055 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1904 | 1874 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 776 | 1038 |
| Points Allowed | 165 | 162 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 6 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 11 |
| Sacks | 17 | 22 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 41% | 44% |
Tennessee Titans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Time: 1:00 pm
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) will face off against the Tennessee Titans (3-5) at Raymond James Stadium, where the Titans are listed as 1-point underdogs with an over/under of 38.5.
The Titans are coming into this game after a narrow loss to the Steelers with a score of 20-16. Will Levis threw for 262 yards and one interception. Derrick Henry was the leading rusher with 75 yards at 4.4 yards per attempt. Tennessee averaged 4.2 yards per carry, totaling 105 rushing yards, but allowed 5.5 yards per carry and 166 rushing yards against them. They finished the game with 340 total yards. The Titans’ defense gave up 160 passing yards and a 63.3% completion rate. Offensively, they score 18.5 points per game and rank 12th in the NFL in rushing with 114.5 yards per game. They have accrued 2,416 total yards this season.
On the defensive side, the Titans have conceded 1,784 passing yards this season, ranking 12th in the league, and allow 223.0 passing yards per game with a 68.9% completion rate against them. Overall, they are allowing 337.8 yards per game, ranking 20th, and they give up 20.0 points per game, placing them 11th in scoring defense.
The Buccaneers, after their high-scoring defeat against the Texans at 39-37, saw Baker Mayfield pass for 265 yards with two touchdowns. Rachaad White led the rushing with 73 yards on 20 carries. Mike Evans was the top receiver with 87 yards on four catches. Tampa Bay totaled 332 yards and averaged 5.3 yards per play. Their defense allowed 443 passing yards and 53 rushing yards. The Buccaneers average 302.5 yards per game, ranking 21st in the NFL, and they score 19.8 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league.
Tampa Bay’s defense is giving up 279.4 passing yards per game, ranking 31st, and they’ve allowed 92.9 rushing yards per game. The Buccaneers have conceded a total of 167 points this year and have forced 15 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and seven interceptions). They allow 20.9 points per game, which ranks them 16th in the NFL.
Who do you think will win this week’s Titans/Buccaneers against the spread?
Prediction: Ranked 16th out of the teams playing this week, the Titans well and truly outrank the Buccaneers in both Rushing and Defense. We should see the Titans win.
Betting Pick: Titans 19-17
| Team Stats | Titans | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2620 | 2491 |
| Passing Yards | 1500 | 1794 |
| Rushing Yards | 916 | 626 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 148 | 158 |
| Fumbles Lost | 2 | 3 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 7 | 4 |
| Sacks Allowed | 29 | 13 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 32% | 38% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 243:10 | 248:15 |
| Penalties | 49 | 59 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2864 | 3112 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1784 | 2235 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 918 | 743 |
| Points Allowed | 160 | 167 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 4 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 7 |
| Sacks | 21 | 21 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 39% | 48% |
Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: SoFi Stadium
Time: 4:05 pm
The Detroit Lions (6-2) are heading to SoFi Stadium to challenge the Los Angeles Chargers (4-4), where the Chargers are slight underdogs by 1.5 points, and the total score for the game is projected at 49.
The Lions are entering the game on a winning note, having defeated the Raiders 26-14 in their last outing. Jared Goff passed for 272 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Jahmyr Gibbs led the rushing attack with 152 yards on 26 carries. Amon-Ra St. Brown caught six passes for 108 yards. Detroit’s offense racked up 486 yards and averaged 5.2 yards per carry with a total of 222 rushing yards. Defensively, they allowed only 77 passing yards and 80 rushing yards. On average, the Lions score 25.0 points per game and rank 6th in the NFL with 131.4 rushing yards per game. They have accrued 3,125 total yards this season.
Defensively, Detroit allows 20.6 points per game, ranking 14th in the league. They’ve conceded 614 rushing yards at 3.7 yards per attempt and 220.1 passing yards per game with a 61.2% completion rate against them. Overall, they are giving up 296.9 yards per game, which places them 5th in the NFL.
The Chargers won their last game against the Jets with a score of 27-6. Justin Herbert threw for 136 yards with no interceptions. Keenan Allen was the leading receiver with 77 yards on eight catches. Austin Ekeler rushed for 47 yards on 14 carries. Los Angeles had 191 total yards and averaged 4.0 yards per carry with a total of 84 rushing yards. Their defense allowed 206 passing yards and 64 rushing yards. The Chargers average 341.0 yards per game, ranking them 15th in the league, and score 25.1 points per game, ranking 8th in the NFL.
On the defensive end, the Chargers allow 21.8 points per game, putting them at 21st in the NFL. They’ve surrendered 12 touchdowns through the air and 286.0 passing yards per game, ranking them last at 32nd. Los Angeles has also given up 718 rushing yards this year at 89.8 yards per game. Their defense has been on the field for 540 plays and has generated 15 turnovers. They have allowed 174 total points over the season.
Who do you think will win this week’s Lions/Chargers against the spread?
Prediction: The Lions ranked 2nd this week have the 7th best Offense and 4th best defense. Lions for the win.
Betting Pick: Lions 24-20
| Team Stats | Lions | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3225 | 2884 |
| Passing Yards | 2074 | 1919 |
| Rushing Yards | 1051 | 809 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 200 | 201 |
| Fumbles Lost | 5 | 2 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 5 | 4 |
| Sacks Allowed | 16 | 20 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 40% | 41% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 213:02 | 254:43 |
| Penalties | 46 | 45 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2551 | 3226 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1761 | 2288 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 614 | 718 |
| Points Allowed | 165 | 174 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 3 | 9 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 6 |
| Sacks | 21 | 31 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 32% | 34% |
Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: State Farm Stadium
Time: 4:05 pm
The Atlanta Falcons (4-5) are set to face the Arizona Cardinals (1-8) at State Farm Stadium, with the Cardinals being slight underdogs by 1 point. The over/under for the matchup is 42 points.
In their last game, the Falcons were defeated by the Vikings 31-28. Taylor Heinicke threw for 268 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Bijan Robinson led the rushing game with 51 yards on 11 carries, and Jonnu Smith caught five passes for 100 yards. Atlanta allowed 146 rushing yards and 217 passing yards, with an overall defensive performance allowing 4.4 yards per carry. The Falcons ran for 110 yards themselves, averaging 3.9 yards per carry. The team averages 18.4 points per game and has a total offensive output of 3,099 yards this season. The team has conceded 1,774 passing yards and 962 rushing yards over nine games, giving up an average of 21.3 points per game.
The Cardinals, on the other hand, are coming off a 27-0 loss to the Browns. Clayton Tune managed only 58 passing yards with two interceptions and 28 rushing yards on five carries. Marquise Brown had four receptions for 24 yards. Arizona’s defense allowed 113 rushing yards and 213 passing yards, while the offense only mustered 41 rushing yards and a meager 1.2 yards per play overall. The Cardinals are averaging 289.7 yards per game and 127.0 rushing yards per game, ranking them 26th and 31st in the NFL, respectively. They score an average of 16.8 points per game. Defensively, they are giving up 26.7 points per game and have surrendered 1,158 rushing yards and 14 passing touchdowns this season.
Both teams have struggled this season, with the Falcons trying to push their record to a more balanced position and the Cardinals aiming to improve on a challenging start. With the Cardinals being the underdogs at home, this game presents an opportunity for both teams to address weaknesses and aim for a win to improve their standings.
Who do you think will win this week’s Falcons/Cardinals against the spread?
Prediction: The Falcons are ranked third out of all teams playing this week, and with superior Offense, Defense, and Passing they should get a win here quite easily.
Betting Pick: 24-17
| Team Stats | Falcons | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3286 | 2774 |
| Passing Yards | 1979 | 1464 |
| Rushing Yards | 1120 | 1143 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 166 | 145 |
| Fumbles Lost | 9 | 5 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 7 | 7 |
| Sacks Allowed | 27 | 24 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 40% | 36% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 266:51 | 288:50 |
| Penalties | 50 | 58 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2858 | 3351 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1774 | 2014 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 962 | 1158 |
| Points Allowed | 192 | 240 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 5 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 5 |
| Sacks | 19 | 25 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 35% | 43% |
New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Time: 4:25 pm
The Dallas Cowboys (5-3) are set to host the New York Giants (2-7) at AT&T Stadium, with Dallas entering as significant 16.5-point favorites. The total for the game is set at 38.5 points.
The Giants come off a tough loss against the Raiders with a final score of 30-6. Quarterback Tommy DeVito completed 15 out of 20 passes for 175 yards, scoring one touchdown and throwing two interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the rushing attack with 90 yards on 16 carries. Darius Slayton contributed 59 receiving yards on four receptions. The Giants’ offense managed 277 total yards and gave up 125 rushing yards and 209 passing yards to their opponents. They are currently averaging 11.2 points per game, ranking 13th in the league in rushing yards per game with 113.9 but 24th in points allowed per game at 24.1.
The Cowboys’ last game resulted in a 28-23 loss to the Eagles. Dak Prescott threw for 374 yards and three touchdowns without any interceptions. CeeDee Lamb had a standout performance, catching 11 passes for 191 yards. Tony Pollard added 51 rushing yards on 12 carries. Overall, the Cowboys accumulated 406 total yards and allowed 109 rushing yards and 183 passing yards. Dallas averages 27.5 points per game, which ranks 3rd in the NFL, with an average of 234.9 passing yards per game. The defense has been stout, ranking 6th in points allowed per game at 18.5 and 6th against the pass, allowing 179.1 yards per game.
The Cowboys are a firm favorite in this matchup, reflecting their solid offensive output and defensive play throughout the season. The Giants will need to significantly improve their performance on both sides of the ball to challenge the Cowboys, especially in such a demanding away game environment.
Who do you think will win this week’s Giants/Cowboys against the spread?
Prediction: The Cowboys have the second-best defense in the league right now, the Giants currently holding onto the 31st spot in passing will have a lot of trouble getting anything across the line.
Betting Pick: 27-13
| Team Stats | Giants | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2687 | 2935 |
| Passing Yards | 1395 | 1879 |
| Rushing Yards | 1025 | 893 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 101 | 214 |
| Fumbles Lost | 4 | 3 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 8 | 5 |
| Sacks Allowed | 49 | 23 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 33% | 46% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 258:44 | 223:34 |
| Penalties | 55 | 60 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3173 | 2438 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1901 | 1433 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1144 | 871 |
| Points Allowed | 217 | 148 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 4 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 9 |
| Sacks | 15 | 21 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 33% | 36% |
Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: Lumen Field
Time: 4:25 pm
The Washington Commanders (4-5) are set to face the Seattle Seahawks (5-3) at Lumen Field, with Washington positioned as 6-point underdogs. The total for the game is set at 45.5 points.
In their last outing, the Commanders claimed a narrow victory against the Patriots, 20-17. Quarterback Sam Howell threw for 325 yards, completed one touchdown, and had one interception. Brian Robinson Jr. led the ground game with 63 yards on 18 carries. Terry McLaurin tallied 73 yards from 5 catches. Washington’s offense accumulated a total of 432 yards, and their defense allowed 220 passing yards and 107 rushing yards. The Commanders are averaging 21.2 points per game, rank 26th in the NFL with an average of 90.1 rushing yards per game, and are 30th in points allowed, conceding 27.2 points per game.
The Seahawks suffered a significant defeat in their last game against the Ravens, losing 37-3. Running back Kenneth Walker III had only 16 yards on nine carries, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba led receivers with 63 yards on six catches. Quarterback Geno Smith passed for 157 yards with one interception. Seattle’s defense gave up a substantial 298 rushing yards and 217 passing yards in that game. The Seahawks are averaging 21.4 points per game, rank 19th with 214.5 passing yards per game, and 22nd in points allowed at 21.9 points per game.
Both teams have similar scoring averages, with the Seahawks having a slightly better record. Washington’s recent win might boost their confidence, but Seattle will look to bounce back from their heavy loss. The game’s over/under suggests a moderate scoring game, with defensive performances likely playing a significant role in the outcome.
Who do you think will win this week’s Commanders/Seahawks against the spread?
Prediction: The Commanders and Seahawks, ranked 14th and 18th respectively should have a pretty tight game on their hands. Were expecting the Seahawks defense to hold off the Commanders, unless their passing game is spot on.
Betting Pick: Seahawks 26-19
| Team Stats | Commanders | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 3282 | 2643 |
| Passing Yards | 2178 | 1716 |
| Rushing Yards | 811 | 778 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 191 | 171 |
| Fumbles Lost | 5 | 3 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 9 | 7 |
| Sacks Allowed | 44 | 18 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 35% | 31% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 266:59 | 267:54 |
| Penalties | 53 | 56 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3430 | 3014 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2274 | 1857 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1046 | 976 |
| Points Allowed | 245 | 175 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 7 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 6 |
| Sacks | 25 | 27 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 39% | 45% |
New York Jets vs Los Angeles Raiders
Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: Allegiant Stadium
Time: 8:20 pm
The New York Jets (4-4) are heading to Allegiant Stadium to face the Las Vegas Raiders (4-5), with the Raiders being 2-point underdogs. The total for the game is set at 36 points.
The Jets are coming off a loss against the Chargers with a final score of 27-6. Breece Hall led the Jets with 50 yards on 16 carries, while Garrett Wilson caught seven passes for 80 yards. Zach Wilson threw for 263 yards with no interceptions and a quarterback rating of 80.6. The Jets allowed 84 rushing yards and 107 passing yards. Overall, they are averaging 16.5 points per game, rank 20th in the league in rushing with 103.4 yards per game, and are 8th in points allowed, conceding 19.5 points per game.
The Raiders won their last game against the Giants with a score of 30-6. Quarterback Aidan O’Connell passed for 209 yards, and Josh Jacobs ran for 98 yards on 26 carries. Tre Tucker was the leading receiver with 52 yards on two receptions. The Raiders’ defense allowed 154 passing yards and 123 rushing yards. The Raiders are averaging 17.3 points per game, rank 23rd in passing with 199.4 yards per game, and are 30th in total offense with an average of 275.6 yards per game. Their defense is giving up 21.4 points per game, ranking them 19th in the league.
In summary, both teams have similar records and are struggling offensively based on their points per game average. The Jets have a strong defense against the pass but have been more vulnerable against the run. The Raiders have a slightly better scoring average but are the underdogs in this matchup. The over/under indicates a low-scoring game is anticipated.
Who do you think will win this week’s Jets/Raiders against the spread?
Prediction: The Jets and the Raiders are both ranked in the low 20s this week, however the Jets defense is up their with the best in the league. Expect a Jets win.
Betting Pick: Jets 22-20
| Team Stats | Jets | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2427 | 2643 |
| Passing Yards | 1356 | 1795 |
| Rushing Yards | 827 | 685 |
| Average Yards per Play | 5 | 5 |
| Points Scored | 126 | 156 |
| Fumbles Lost | 8 | 3 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 5 | 13 |
| Sacks Allowed | 32 | 22 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 22% | 33% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 259:18 | 289:21 |
| Penalties | 52 | 48 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 2612 | 3117 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 1398 | 1730 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1098 | 1248 |
| Points Allowed | 156 | 193 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 5 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 8 |
| Sacks | 22 | 24 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 40% | 43% |
Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills
Date: Monday, November 13, 2023
Venue: Highmark Stadium
Time: 8:15 pm
Highmark Stadium will host the Buffalo Bills (5-4) as they face the Denver Broncos (3-5) on Monday, with the Broncos opening as 7.5-point underdogs. The over/under for the game is set at 47 points.
The Broncos enter this matchup with a 3-5 record, coming off a win against the Chiefs with a final score of 24-9. Russell Wilson passed for 114 yards and three touchdowns, with a quarterback rating of 119.3. Javonte Williams was the leading rusher with 85 yards on 27 carries. Jerry Jeudy had 50 receiving yards on two catches. The Broncos’ offense gained a total of 240 yards, while the defense allowed 213 passing yards and 62 rushing yards. Denver averages 21.5 points per game, ranking them 11th in rushing with 116.8 yards per game, and is at the bottom in total defense, allowing 405.9 yards per game. They are also 31st in points allowed, giving up 28.3 points per game.
The Bills are 5-4 and are coming off a loss to the Bengals with a score of 24-18. Josh Allen rushed for 44 yards and threw for 258 yards, with one touchdown and one interception. Stefon Diggs caught six passes for 86 yards. Buffalo’s defense gave up 343 passing yards but only 54 rushing yards. The Bills are ranked 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 26.7 points per game, and are 5th in both total offense with 370.2 yards per game and in penalties with 476 yards on 60 infractions. They rank 14th in pass defense, allowing 219.6 yards per game, and have conceded a total of 160 points, making them 5th in points allowed.
The matchup suggests the Bills are favored to win, reflected in their better offensive and defensive rankings than the Broncos. However, both teams will look to improve their standings, with the Bills aiming to leverage their high-scoring offense and the Broncos looking to build on their recent win. The over/under indicates expectations for a relatively high-scoring game.
Who do you think will win this week’s Broncos/Bills against the spread?
Prediction: Sitting at opposite ends of the ranking this week, the Bills undoubtedly have a leg up with one of the best Offensive lineups and the 4th best passing in the league. The Broncos defense (sitting nway down in the rankings at 31st) won’t be able to keep up with the Bills.
Betting Pick: Bills 28-17
| Team Stats | Broncos | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Total Yards | 2547 | 3396 |
| Passing Yards | 1483 | 2359 |
| Rushing Yards | 934 | 973 |
| Average Yards per Play | 6 | 6 |
| Points Scored | 166 | 240 |
| Fumbles Lost | 8 | 5 |
| Interceptions Thrown | 4 | 9 |
| Sacks Allowed | 26 | 13 |
| 3rd Down Efficiency | 40% | 50% |
| Time of Possession Per Game | 257:02 | 264:48 |
| Penalties | 54 | 60 |
| Total Yards Allowed | 3382 | 3179 |
| Passing Yards Allowed | 2014 | 1976 |
| Rushing Yards Allowed | 1233 | 1030 |
| Points Allowed | 226 | 160 |
| Fumbles Recovered | 5 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 8 |
| Sacks | 17 | 29 |
| Allowed 3rd Down Efficiency | 38% | 41% |
Byes
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Los Angeles Rams
- Miami Dolphins
- Philadelphia Eagles
This Weeks NFL Parlay
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This Weeks Mega NFL Parlay
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Playing Teams Ranking
Below you will find All teams playing this week overall ranking (for games in week 10), to the right in OFFENSE, DEFENSE, PASSING, and RUSHING you will find the teams overall ranking of all 32 teams in the league.
*This is not all teams in the NFL, this is the statistical ranking of all teams playing in week 10 of the 2023 NFL season.
| Overall Ranking | Team | OFFENSE | DEFENSE | PASSING | RUSHING |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | Ravens | 4th | 3rd | 16th | 1st |
| 2nd | Lions | 7th | 4th | 10th | 10th |
| 3rd | Falcons | 8th | 12th | 12th | 7th |
| 4th | 49ers | 12th | 7th | 13th | 9th |
| 5th | Bills | 3rd | 23rd | 4th | 12th |
| 6th | Saints | 10th | 13th | 7th | 14th |
| 7th | Cowboys | 16th | 2nd | 15th | 19th |
| 8th | Browns | 19th | 1st | 29th | 5th |
| 9th | Vikings | 6th | 19th | 2nd | 27th |
| 10th | Colts | 9th | 30th | 11th | 8th |
| 11th | Texans | 15th | 10th | 8th | 29th |
| 12th | Jaguars | 17th | 14th | 17th | 18th |
| 13th | Bears | 14th | 26th | 23rd | 3rd |
| 14th | Commanders | 13th | 32nd | 6th | 21st |
| 15th | Chargers | 18th | 24th | 14th | 22nd |
| 16th | Titans | 27th | 11th | 26th | 17th |
| 17th | Packers | 28th | 8th | 24th | 23rd |
| 18th | Seahawks | 22nd | 15th | 22nd | 25th |
| 19th | Patriots | 21st | 22nd | 18th | 24th |
| 20th | Cardinals | 20th | 29th | 30th | 6th |
| 21st | Panthers | 30th | 5th | 27th | 26th |
| 22nd | Jets | 32nd | 6th | 32nd | 20th |
| 23rd | Raiders | 23rd | 20th | 19th | 30th |
| 24th | Giants | 25th | 27th | 31st | 11th |
| 25th | Buccaneers | 24th | 21st | 20th | 31st |
| 26th | Bengals | 29th | 18th | 21st | 32nd |
| 27th | Broncos | 26th | 31st | 28th | 16th |
| 28th | Steelers | 31st | 25th | 25th | 28th |
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